Markets: Analysis
Carbon price predicted to rise after upcoming auction
14 Nov 2024
OPINION: Are NZUs set for a bump after the December auction? Nigel Brunel, managing director Marex New Zealand, thinks so.
Carbon price inching up as auction looms
7 Nov 2024
The carbon price is still inching up towards the auction floor, with the final auction for 2024 less than a month away. But the US election result means uncertain times for global environmental markets, according to an expert.
Verra’s plan to review carbon credits faster with fewer staff raises integrity concerns
4 Nov 2024
Verra’s new CEO said that “faster does not equal to compromise on integrity” – but independent carbon market experts are sceptical.
Stockpile and forestry set to drive carbon price
23 Oct 2024
Stockpile holders will have the power to set the NZU price in future, as the importance of the government’s carbon auctions wanes, Emissions Trading Scheme participants were told last week.
Increased volatility as carbon price inches up towards auction floor
11 Oct 2024
The secondary carbon market saw a slight increase in volatility last week, with carbon trading platform Jarden noting higher volumes above the $62 mark.
Market looks to tomorrow’s carbon auction
3 Sep 2024
The carbon price crept up last week, as the market had its second-biggest month of traded volume ahead of tomorrow’s auction, with some commentators saying it’s a done deal that the auction will fail.
Reported emissions down, carbon market up
28 Aug 2024
The Environmental Protection Authority published the latest Emissions Trading Scheme data on emissions and removals earlier this month, with reported emissions down overall, while reported removals increased.
Carbon market buoyed by ETS settings announcement
21 Aug 2024
The carbon price shot up yesterday, following the government’s announcement it would reduce auction supply of carbon credits by more than half.
Govt slashes ETS auction volumes
20 Aug 2024
The government has slashed Emissions Trading Scheme auction volumes from next year, following the Climate Change Commission’s advice to reduce the amount of units on offer at auction by more than half.
NZAS agrees further reductions to help ease energy constraint
20 Aug 2024
Media Release | New Zealand’s Aluminium Smelter (NZAS) at Tiwai has agreed to reduce electricity consumption by another 20 megawatts (MW) to further help New Zealand’s national grid, as the energy squeeze continues.
Carbon futures offer new opportunity for forest owners
1 Aug 2024
By Liz Kivi | The first few days of trade for Australian and New Zealand carbon futures contracts on the Australian Securities Exchange got off to a slow start since launching on Monday.
Carbon market ‘underwhelmed’ by govt climate plan
24 Jul 2024
The carbon market barely blinked last week when the coalition government released its major climate policy, the second emissions reduction plan, which is intended to chart a path to reach climate targets to 2030.
Jarden launches commtrade platform in Australia
16 Jul 2024
Jarden is launching its renewables trading platform in Australia, looking to grow carbon credits trading as the energy transition continues.
Govt must not lower ETS auction floor price
11 Jul 2024
By Nigel Brunel | OPINION: The coalition government has undermined confidence in our central mechanism to deal with climate change, the Emissions Trading Scheme, and needs to stop meddling and start building back confidence in the market.
Initial carbon trading boost following stockpile reduction
9 Jul 2024
There was an initial “flurry” of carbon units trading hands on the secondary market last week, following a government update revealing a 25 million decrease in the stockpile of units in private accounts.
Carbon credit ‘stockpile’ down by 25 million units
4 Jul 2024
The NZU ‘stockpile’ has shrunk by 24.5 million NZUs, with emitters surrendering their units ahead of the May 31 deadline removing a hefty chunk of the surplus, according to the latest government figures.
Carbon market: auction floor now 'ceiling price'?
27 Jun 2024
By Liz Kivi | The price of NZUs has hovered around the $50 mark following last week’s failed auction, with some experts saying the auction floor price of $64 now represents a kind of “ceiling price” which secondary market trading will stay below.
Carbon price up 20%
6 Jun 2024
The NZU price has jumped more than 20%, up from about $45 early last week, last fixing at $56 on the Commtrade platform this morning.
Govt blamed for low carbon price
22 May 2024
By Liz Kivi | The carbon price hit a ten-month low on the secondary market on Monday, with NZUs trading at about half the price of the commodity’s all-time high of $88.50 in November 2022.
ETS consultation: ‘signal versus noise’ suggests eventual price rise
21 May 2024
By Murray McClintock | COMMENT: Although changing prices makes a good soundbite, the key driver of ETS prices is unit supply and demand.
Carbon price sinks to lowest in ten months
20 May 2024
The carbon price is down nearly 11% since last week, as the market reacts negatively to a government consultation suggesting weaker ETS settings.
Jury out on how ETS consultation will impact carbon market
16 May 2024
The government’s latest consultation on Emissions Trading Scheme settings will be difficult for the market to translate into clear positive or negative signals - with uncertainty remaining around forestry, according to an expert.
Commodities trader Marex to start carbon trading in NZ
3 May 2024
British commodities trader Marex is planning to launch a new carbon trading platform in New Zealand in the next few weeks.
Lack of policy direction to blame for low carbon price?
11 Apr 2024
The carbon price continued its post-auction slump, with weak demand seeing the secondary market trading well below the auction floor.
Carbon price makes partial recovery
25 Mar 2024
The carbon price has increased slightly from an eight-month low on Wednesday, following the government’s Emissions Trading Scheme auction, but is still trading well below the auction floor.
Carbon price nosedives following auction
21 Mar 2024
By Liz Kivi | The carbon price has dropped to its lowest since July last year, following yesterday’s partial auction clearance.
First ETS auction of the year partially clears
20 Mar 2024
Today’s Emissions Trading Scheme auction has partially cleared.
Carbon price scraping the auction floor just ahead of Wednesday's auction
18 Mar 2024
The carbon price is at its lowest in nearly six months, with poor investor sentiment just ahead of the first auction of the year on Wednesday.
Govt changes ETS reserve price methodology ahead of auction
11 Mar 2024
The government has announced it has changed the methodology used to calculate the confidential reserve price for Emissions Trading Scheme auctions, as the NZU price gains ground in recent days.
Carbon price dips closer to auction floor
23 Feb 2024
By Liz Kivi | The carbon price has dipped closer to the auction floor, with an increase in selling blamed on an overall weakness in the market.
Carbon price drops below $70 with March auction just a month away
21 Feb 2024
NZUs sank into the sixties on the secondary market at the end of last week, with speculation surrounding whether the government will adjust the confidential reserve price to raise revenue at next month’s auction.
Carbon price trending upwards
1 Feb 2024
The carbon price is up more than $5 on the secondary market since the start of last week, making a jump of nearly 9%.
Carbon price down following declined auction
7 Dec 2023
The carbon price is down following yesterday’s failed auction, which sent 15 million NZUs out of the ETS for good.
Fourth consecutive carbon auction failure sends 15 million carbon units up in smoke
6 Dec 2023
The final ETS carbon auction of the year has failed, taking 15 million tonnes worth of carbon “pollution permits” out of the market - and a potential $1 billion out of the government’s coffers.
Carbon price up ahead of auction next week
1 Dec 2023
The carbon price is up to just under $75 ahead of the Emissions Trade Scheme auction on Wednesday next week.
Scrutiny on global voluntary carbon market and changes to ETS led to Toitū dropping NZUs
1 Dec 2023
By Ann Smith | OPINION: Toitū’s decision last week to transition away from accepting New Zealand carbon credits brought the global voluntary carbon market, and debates about its integrity, into sharp focus.
Carbon price steady amidst political uncertainty
16 Nov 2023
The carbon price has pushed through the $70 mark over the last past two months, from a low of $64 in late September to a high last week of $71.25.
Carbon price predicted to go close to $100 in 2024
8 Nov 2023
An expert is picking a bump in the carbon price if the December auction doesn’t clear, predicting it will to go up to between $80 and $100 next year - with an expectation it will be closer to $100.
EMS accredited to issue International Renewable Energy Certificates
20 Oct 2023
Transpower company Energy Market Services (EMS) has been accredited to issue International Renewable Energy Certificates (I-REC) for electricity produced in New Zealand.
Australian carbon price set to double
17 Oct 2023
Analysts say Australia’s carbon price is set to double, with reforms underway affecting industrial greenhouse gas emitters who are responsible for about 28% of the country’s emissions.
NZX updates ETS auction calendars
13 Oct 2023
NZX has updated the Emissions Trading Scheme auction calendars, with new settings in line with Climate Change Commission recommendations.
FMA publishes final climate related disclosures guidance
5 Oct 2023
The Financial Markets Authority has published its final guidance for Climate Reporting Entities on meeting their record keeping obligations.
Carbon price hovers around $73
13 Sep 2023
The NZU price is up $2 since early last week, with a price bump both before and after last week’s auction.
Third consecutive ETS auction fails
6 Sep 2023
Today’s ETS auction has been declined because the clearing price did not meet the minimum price settings, with no winning bids as a result - and an increasing likelihood that the December auction will also fail.
Carbon price up ahead of Wednesday auction
4 Sep 2023
The carbon price pushed through the $70 mark at the end of last week, last fixing at $71 on Commtrade on Friday. It has climbed $6 in the past two weeks to its highest point since February - more than double the price just two months ago.
Concerns around NZU reporting
1 Sep 2023
Emissions Trading Scheme participants are calling for better accuracy and transparency in NZU movement reporting, after two reporting glitches have led to serious questions.
Secondary carbon market “pops” to 5-month high, ETS announcement later today
22 Aug 2023
The NZU price hit a 5-month high late last week, trading as high as $66.50 on Friday - up 10% for the week.
Tender for forestry NZUs
9 Aug 2023
An unnamed buyer is in the market for a “significant volume” of forestry NZUs through a tender process.
Carbon price fluctuates with potential for more volatility
2 Aug 2023
It’s been a big week for NZUs on the secondary market, with the price rising almost $18 to $65 on Wednesday last week, hovering around $60 for several days, but then dipping below the $60 mark.
Labour won't scrap RMA replacement laws: Hipkins
Fri 26 Jun 2026
By Shannon Morris-Williams | Labour Party leader Chris Hipkins says New Zealand needs to move beyond the "repeal and replace" approach to resource management, confirming the party would amend rather than scrap the Government's RMA reforms, if elected.
Lake Onslow pumped hydro consortium secures funding for consent push
Fri 26 Jun 2026
By Oli Lewis | The consortium behind Lake Onslow pumped hydro has secured funding to finalise its resource consent application, aiming to lodge it under the fast-track process before 2027.
Fed Farmers' election wish-list includes stopping whole-farm conversions to carbon forestry
9 Jun 2026
Federated Farmers has launched a five-point plan for the next government, setting out what it says should be a major focus for political parties heading into the November election.
'Terrible result': Emissions barely budged in 2024
5 Jun 2026
By Shannon Morris-Williams | New Zealand's greenhouse gas emissions were virtually unchanged in 2024, falling by 0.03%, despite the economy shrinking by ten times that amount during the same period, according to new data.
Labour pledges unlimited public transport for $20 a week
10 Jun 2026
The Labour Party is promising to cap weekly public transport fares at $20 in Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch, if elected in November.
Govt opens first ETS forestry permit ballot
Mon 22 Jun 2026
Applications have opened for the first ballot under new ETS forestry rules, with up to 7,500 hectares of exotic forestry on marginal land on offer for landowners to register in the Emissions Trading Scheme in the first of two annual rounds, totalling up to 15,000ha a year.
NZ Taxonomy project scoops London Climate Week award
Wed 24 Jun 2026
The New Zealand Taxonomy project has scooped an innovation award at the International Climate Bonds awards in London this week.
