Markets: Analysis
Govt slashes ETS auction volumes
20 Aug 2024
The government has slashed Emissions Trading Scheme auction volumes from next year, following the Climate Change Commission’s advice to reduce the amount of units on offer at auction by more than half.
NZAS agrees further reductions to help ease energy constraint
20 Aug 2024
Media Release | New Zealand’s Aluminium Smelter (NZAS) at Tiwai has agreed to reduce electricity consumption by another 20 megawatts (MW) to further help New Zealand’s national grid, as the energy squeeze continues.
Carbon futures offer new opportunity for forest owners
1 Aug 2024
By Liz Kivi | The first few days of trade for Australian and New Zealand carbon futures contracts on the Australian Securities Exchange got off to a slow start since launching on Monday.
Carbon market ‘underwhelmed’ by govt climate plan
24 Jul 2024
The carbon market barely blinked last week when the coalition government released its major climate policy, the second emissions reduction plan, which is intended to chart a path to reach climate targets to 2030.
Jarden launches commtrade platform in Australia
16 Jul 2024
Jarden is launching its renewables trading platform in Australia, looking to grow carbon credits trading as the energy transition continues.
Govt must not lower ETS auction floor price
11 Jul 2024
By Nigel Brunel | OPINION: The coalition government has undermined confidence in our central mechanism to deal with climate change, the Emissions Trading Scheme, and needs to stop meddling and start building back confidence in the market.
Initial carbon trading boost following stockpile reduction
9 Jul 2024
There was an initial “flurry” of carbon units trading hands on the secondary market last week, following a government update revealing a 25 million decrease in the stockpile of units in private accounts.
Carbon credit ‘stockpile’ down by 25 million units
4 Jul 2024
The NZU ‘stockpile’ has shrunk by 24.5 million NZUs, with emitters surrendering their units ahead of the May 31 deadline removing a hefty chunk of the surplus, according to the latest government figures.
Carbon market: auction floor now 'ceiling price'?
27 Jun 2024
By Liz Kivi | The price of NZUs has hovered around the $50 mark following last week’s failed auction, with some experts saying the auction floor price of $64 now represents a kind of “ceiling price” which secondary market trading will stay below.
Carbon price up 20%
6 Jun 2024
The NZU price has jumped more than 20%, up from about $45 early last week, last fixing at $56 on the Commtrade platform this morning.
Govt blamed for low carbon price
22 May 2024
By Liz Kivi | The carbon price hit a ten-month low on the secondary market on Monday, with NZUs trading at about half the price of the commodity’s all-time high of $88.50 in November 2022.
ETS consultation: ‘signal versus noise’ suggests eventual price rise
21 May 2024
By Murray McClintock | COMMENT: Although changing prices makes a good soundbite, the key driver of ETS prices is unit supply and demand.
Carbon price sinks to lowest in ten months
20 May 2024
The carbon price is down nearly 11% since last week, as the market reacts negatively to a government consultation suggesting weaker ETS settings.
Jury out on how ETS consultation will impact carbon market
16 May 2024
The government’s latest consultation on Emissions Trading Scheme settings will be difficult for the market to translate into clear positive or negative signals - with uncertainty remaining around forestry, according to an expert.
Commodities trader Marex to start carbon trading in NZ
3 May 2024
British commodities trader Marex is planning to launch a new carbon trading platform in New Zealand in the next few weeks.
Lack of policy direction to blame for low carbon price?
11 Apr 2024
The carbon price continued its post-auction slump, with weak demand seeing the secondary market trading well below the auction floor.
Carbon price makes partial recovery
25 Mar 2024
The carbon price has increased slightly from an eight-month low on Wednesday, following the government’s Emissions Trading Scheme auction, but is still trading well below the auction floor.
Carbon price nosedives following auction
21 Mar 2024
By Liz Kivi | The carbon price has dropped to its lowest since July last year, following yesterday’s partial auction clearance.
First ETS auction of the year partially clears
20 Mar 2024
Today’s Emissions Trading Scheme auction has partially cleared.
Carbon price scraping the auction floor just ahead of Wednesday's auction
18 Mar 2024
The carbon price is at its lowest in nearly six months, with poor investor sentiment just ahead of the first auction of the year on Wednesday.
Govt changes ETS reserve price methodology ahead of auction
11 Mar 2024
The government has announced it has changed the methodology used to calculate the confidential reserve price for Emissions Trading Scheme auctions, as the NZU price gains ground in recent days.
Carbon price dips closer to auction floor
23 Feb 2024
By Liz Kivi | The carbon price has dipped closer to the auction floor, with an increase in selling blamed on an overall weakness in the market.
Carbon price drops below $70 with March auction just a month away
21 Feb 2024
NZUs sank into the sixties on the secondary market at the end of last week, with speculation surrounding whether the government will adjust the confidential reserve price to raise revenue at next month’s auction.
Carbon price trending upwards
1 Feb 2024
The carbon price is up more than $5 on the secondary market since the start of last week, making a jump of nearly 9%.
Carbon price down following declined auction
7 Dec 2023
The carbon price is down following yesterday’s failed auction, which sent 15 million NZUs out of the ETS for good.
Fourth consecutive carbon auction failure sends 15 million carbon units up in smoke
6 Dec 2023
The final ETS carbon auction of the year has failed, taking 15 million tonnes worth of carbon “pollution permits” out of the market - and a potential $1 billion out of the government’s coffers.
Carbon price up ahead of auction next week
1 Dec 2023
The carbon price is up to just under $75 ahead of the Emissions Trade Scheme auction on Wednesday next week.
Scrutiny on global voluntary carbon market and changes to ETS led to Toitū dropping NZUs
1 Dec 2023
By Ann Smith | OPINION: Toitū’s decision last week to transition away from accepting New Zealand carbon credits brought the global voluntary carbon market, and debates about its integrity, into sharp focus.
Carbon price steady amidst political uncertainty
16 Nov 2023
The carbon price has pushed through the $70 mark over the last past two months, from a low of $64 in late September to a high last week of $71.25.
Carbon price predicted to go close to $100 in 2024
8 Nov 2023
An expert is picking a bump in the carbon price if the December auction doesn’t clear, predicting it will to go up to between $80 and $100 next year - with an expectation it will be closer to $100.
EMS accredited to issue International Renewable Energy Certificates
20 Oct 2023
Transpower company Energy Market Services (EMS) has been accredited to issue International Renewable Energy Certificates (I-REC) for electricity produced in New Zealand.
Australian carbon price set to double
17 Oct 2023
Analysts say Australia’s carbon price is set to double, with reforms underway affecting industrial greenhouse gas emitters who are responsible for about 28% of the country’s emissions.
NZX updates ETS auction calendars
13 Oct 2023
NZX has updated the Emissions Trading Scheme auction calendars, with new settings in line with Climate Change Commission recommendations.
FMA publishes final climate related disclosures guidance
5 Oct 2023
The Financial Markets Authority has published its final guidance for Climate Reporting Entities on meeting their record keeping obligations.
Carbon price hovers around $73
13 Sep 2023
The NZU price is up $2 since early last week, with a price bump both before and after last week’s auction.
Third consecutive ETS auction fails
6 Sep 2023
Today’s ETS auction has been declined because the clearing price did not meet the minimum price settings, with no winning bids as a result - and an increasing likelihood that the December auction will also fail.
Carbon price up ahead of Wednesday auction
4 Sep 2023
The carbon price pushed through the $70 mark at the end of last week, last fixing at $71 on Commtrade on Friday. It has climbed $6 in the past two weeks to its highest point since February - more than double the price just two months ago.
Concerns around NZU reporting
1 Sep 2023
Emissions Trading Scheme participants are calling for better accuracy and transparency in NZU movement reporting, after two reporting glitches have led to serious questions.
Secondary carbon market “pops” to 5-month high, ETS announcement later today
22 Aug 2023
The NZU price hit a 5-month high late last week, trading as high as $66.50 on Friday - up 10% for the week.
Tender for forestry NZUs
9 Aug 2023
An unnamed buyer is in the market for a “significant volume” of forestry NZUs through a tender process.
Carbon price fluctuates with potential for more volatility
2 Aug 2023
It’s been a big week for NZUs on the secondary market, with the price rising almost $18 to $65 on Wednesday last week, hovering around $60 for several days, but then dipping below the $60 mark.
Govt U-turn adopting Commission’s advice on ETS auction settings
26 Jul 2023
The government has adopted the Climate Change Commission’s advice on ETS auction settings from December, with a significantly higher floor price, lower auction volumes, and two-tiers of much higher prices for the cost containment reserve.
Carbon price bounces but how high will it go?
26 Jul 2023
Pundits are picking the government’s decision to adopt most of the Climate Change Commission’s ETS recommendations, rejected by Cabinet last year, will result in a sustained increase in the price of carbon. But few expect it to return to the $88.50 high of last November anytime soon.
Govt signals ETS announcement, market “drifting”
25 Jul 2023
The Ministry for the Environment has signalled it will make an announcement about the Emissions Trading Scheme tonight, after the market closes.
Carbon price jumps 30%
19 Jul 2023
The price of NZUs on the secondary market has rebounded since last week’s unexpected revelation that the government would be forced to change Emissions Trading Scheme settings.
Carbon stockpile down
19 Jul 2023
The “stockpile” of NZUs is down after the last surrender deadline, with emitters using primarily forestry or industrial allocation to meet their obligations under the ETS.
Carbon price crashes, “split market” developing
7 Jul 2023
The carbon price dropped to a two-year low this week, and insiders say a split market is developing, with lower prices for forestry-derived NZUs.
Carbon auction clearing price well below confidential reserve
1 May 2023
The last carbon auction clearing price was 30% lower than the spot price at the failed March 15 auction.
NZUs likely to be classified as financial instruments
23 Nov 2022
The Ministry for the Environment is consulting on whether NZUs should be treated as a financial instrument with agents, advisors and consultants subject to the Financial Markets Conduct regime.
Govt ‘scaremongering’ over co-operation – former climate ambassador
Fri 5 Dec 2025
By Liz Kivi | New Zealand’s former top climate diplomat, Kay Harrison, says the Government’s recent comments ruling out buying climate mitigation offshore amount to scaremongering, and the country is missing a chance to give our businesses a boost.
Market rewards firming over renewables in gentailer split
Wed 3 Dec 2025
A clearer valuation divide is emerging across the gentailer sector, with the market increasingly rewarding companies positioned for flexibility and firming rather than renewable build-out.
Govt green lights rural recycling scheme
Thu 4 Dec 2025
The Government has approved new regulations to bring rural waste schemes under one unified framework.
Mounting emissions due to Government decisions
20 Nov 2025
By Liz Kivi | The Coalition Government’s climate policies have added a whopping 26 million tonnes of emissions out to 2030, according to new analysis of Government projections.
Christchurch Airport boasts world-first liquid-hydrogen refuelling for test aircraft
30 Oct 2025
By Liz Kivi | Local companies working on hydrogen-electric flight have made ‘a significant step forward’ in successfully filling aviation tanks with liquid hydrogen produced and stored on-site at an international airport for the first time.
Uncertainty eroding confidence in forestry sector
Fri 5 Dec 2025
By Shannon Morris-Williams | Warnings are mounting that tree planting is set to plunge to “very close to zero”, as new Ministry for Primary Industries data shows ETS registration applications falling sharply as confidence in forestry declines.
Investors must support positive climate-tech
28 Nov 2025
OPINION: We need better leadership than the current ‘climate opportunism’ that is rife in the Beehive, and we need to back a marketplace that will make it happen, writes Rob Campbell.
